Most of the data is actual government spending as reported by the Office of Management and Budget or the United States Census Bureau. But there is also interpolated data for the years not covered by the data sources. In addition, we have included budgeted and estimated spending as well. We have used color and italics to tell you the source of each item of spending.
Here is the key:
- Actual reported government spending is shown in blue text
- Interpolated data filling in for missing years in the source records is shown in blue italic text
- Budgeted spending is shown in normal text
- Estimated spending is shown in italic text
- “Guesstimated” spending, i.e. future state and local spending projected by usgovernmentspending.com, is shown in red italic text
Data Sources
The government spending information is obtained from several sources of data.Federal spending since 1962 is obtained from a spreadsheet file Table 3.2 - Outlays by Function and Subfunction in Budget of the United States Government published by the Executive Office of the President of the United States. It contains actual historical federal government spending from 1962 to the fiscal year ending before the current budget, and budgeted and estimated spending the current fiscal year and out five years.
Federal revenue since 1962 is obtained from spreadsheet files Table 2.1 - Receipts by Source: 1934–2016,
Table 2.4 - Composition of Social Insurance and Retirement Receipts and of Excise Taxes: 1940–2016, and Table 2.5 - Composition of “Other Receipts”: 1940–2016.
State and local government spending from 1992 is obtained from tables of state and local government spending published annually by the United States Census Bureau. For instance, the data for fiscal year 2004 is available as a zip file: State by Level of Government - Comma Delimited.
State and local government spending from 1962 to 1991 is obtained from tables of state and local government spending in the Statistical Abstract of the United States published by the United States Census Bureau.
Federal, state, and local government spending prior to 1962 is obtained from “Series Y 605-637. Federal Government Expenditure, by Function: 1902 to 1970” and from “Series Y 682-709. State and Local Government Expenditure, by Function: 1902 to 1970.” These are tables included in Bicentennial Edition: Historical Statistics of the United States, Colonial Times to 1970 published by the United States Census Bureau.
This information is given in tabular form in Government Spending Data: Sources by Year.
Guesstimated Spending
The federal government provides budgetary data for the current year and the next year. It also provides estimated budgetary data for the following four years.But the Census Bureau data on state and local spending is historical data only. It does not include any information on state and local budgets or on state and local government spending projections.
So at usgovernmentspending.com we have massaged the recent historical data to come up with a “guesstimate” of future state and local spending.
The method used is to take the average change in spending for the last four years of historical data and estimate the percentage change in spending that this represents, limiting the percentage change to plus 20 percent and zero. We then apply that percentage for each year after the last year in the Census Bureau data.
You will notice that this method has its problems. The line “All Other Spending” for states goes negative in the out years, because the rate of increase in individual programs presently exceeds the rate of increase in overall spending. That is what you call a “budget crisis.”
Hey Christopher, question: are the numbers adjusted for inflation? In comparing numbers from the 90's to now, just trying to make sure it is apples to apples. Thanks.
ReplyDeleteThis is treasure trove of info. Am researching Cold War, and has been difficult to get figures for ACTUAL defense spending, which then allows one to calculate as percentage of total federal budget, as well as percentage of GDP. Most sites adjust spending for inflation, which then makes it difficult to compare figures against GDP or total government spending.
ReplyDeleteOne thing is clear--we spend whopping amounts on military. At the moment we are spending 2 billion dollars and up for one Aegis destroyer. There was one in here for port call last month and invited visitors aboard. We all thought ship was in Japan to deal with Korean situation. In fact, it was off to Indian Ocean to chase pirates. 2 billion to chase pirates??!!? plus cost of getting that ship from homeport in US (Seattle) to Indian Ocean.
Denis Jonnes
Dept. of Anglo-American Studies
The University of Kitakyushu
Kitakyushu
Japan
These numbers are completely innaccurate, and do not include the costs of military spending, which in essence is greater than 50% of our federal budget. I love how you are advocating an idiot woman who is an insult to the female gender and making these numbers look legit. Good luck at the pearly gates....
ReplyDeleteAnonymous of June 28 is probably referring to the analysis of the federal budget by the War Resisters League. The analysis assumes that interest payments on the national debt represent "Past Military" expenditures.
ReplyDeleteMr. Chantrill,
ReplyDeleteI always read about u.s "interest" payment on its debt, but what about the principal payments on u.s debt?.
I guess, interest plus principal is the total amount of us debt service. I understand u.s goverment issue bonds, then pays interest for those bonds, and when those bonds mature they have to pay the principal; so why dont they count it? why there is only the "interest" account in the us national budget, excluding principals payments to bonds when mature?
I would like to know the anualy total amount of debt service in the public debt(excluding intragivermental debt)
In your web there is the "Interest on Treasury Debt Securities (gross)" but missing principal
I would greatly appreciate an answer, please,
anthonyabreu@gmail.com
What are the balances of Trust Funds for Social Security, Medicare, Highways, Housing, etc. Trust Funds? These numbers would be useful to fill in the missing pieces. These Treasury Bills held by these Trust Funds need replacing with increases to General Revenue through Income Taxes or Excise Taxes. Raising these is the only way to redeem those Treasuries and pay off obligations for Social Security, Medicare, Highways, Housing. It is poor governance and conflict of interest to have those Trust Funds managed by the Secretary of the Treasury. Clearly, Paulson protected his own private shareholding in Goldman when he pushed through the $700B bailout. That shareholding was estimated at $600M.
ReplyDeleteAlso, would be interesting to see the subsidies and where they hit tax revenues. This information is not presented in any tables about revenues or outlays. These subsidies are a combination of direct spending and tax subsidies. These uncollected taxes represent money we need to know about to really understand the Federal Budget and Deficits. There is a lot of opacity and subterfuge going on about this since the biggest beneficiaries are the Top 1% who own more than 50% of the stock in all our US corporations. They get to keep 1/2 of the profits of the entire corporate sector.
ReplyDeletehttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Agricultural_subsidy#United_States
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2010-07-29/fossil-fuel-subsidies-are-12-times-support-for-renewables-study-shows.html
http://boingboing.net/2010/07/14/how-we-subsidize-fos.html
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ReplyDeleteHi Christopher, Trust you are doing well today and first of all Happy Thanks Giving day. Just wanted to know what is the FY13 US dollar exchange rate to Indian Rupee conversion that is predicted. Can you please help with any data that you might have which can be used as part of budgets. Thanks and Looking forward
ReplyDeleteHave a nice day