Wednesday, October 15, 2014

Federal Deficit Announced for FY14

On October 13, 2014, the US Treasury reported in its Monthly Treasury Statement for September that the federal deficit for FY14 ending September 30 was $483 billion. Here are the numbers, including total receipts, total outlays, and deficit compared with the numbers projected in the FY 15 federal budget published in February 2014:

Federal Finances
FY14 Outcomes
Budget
billions
Outcome
billions
Receipts $3,002$3,021
Outlays$3,651$3,504
Deficit$649$483

usfederalbudget.us now shows the new numbers for total FY14 outlays and receipts on its Estimate vs. Actual page.

The Monthly Treasury Statement includes "Table 9. Summary of Receipts by Source, and Outlays by Function of the U.S. Government, September 2014 and Other Periods".   This table of outlays by function makes it possible for usgovernmentspending.com to estimate outlays by "subfunction" for FY2014 by factoring budgeted amounts by the difference between budgeted and actual "function" amounts where actual outlays by subfunction cannot be gleaned from the Monthly Treasury Statement.

Final detailed FY2014 numbers will not appear until the FY2016 federal budget is published in February 2015

Saturday, September 27, 2014

State FY14 Tax Update

On September 27, 2014 usgovernmentspending.com updated FY2014 state revenue with quarterly tax data from the US Census Bureau.  Local tax data was updated by assuming that local taxes for 2014 changed by the same percent as state taxes of the same type.

The following table shows "guesstimated" US state and local total revenue before and after the change.

Revenue
$ billion
FY 2012 FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015
Before2,6682,7162,809-
After2,4152,5892,6752,714

Saturday, August 2, 2014

Medicare/Social Security Trustee Reports Released

On July 28, 2014, the Center for Medicare Services released its annual Medicare Trustees Report, which projects Medicare spending out into the 2080s.  As in the past, the report shows that federal health-care programs will eat the budget.

UsGovernmentspending.com has updated its chart of the Medicare Outlook here based on data in the 2014 Medicare Trustees Report.  You can download the data and also view selected Medicare Trustee forecasts going back to 2005.

On July 28, 2014, the Social Security Administration released its annual OASDI Trustees Report, which projects Social Security spending out into the 2080s.  As in the past, the report shows that Social Security spending will max out at about 6 percent of GDP.

UsGovernmentspending.com is publishing for the first time a chart of the Social Security Outlook here based on data in the 2014 OASDI Trustees Report.  You can download the data and also view OASDI Trustee forecasts for 2005 and 1997.