Monday, December 30, 2019

US, State Population Update for 2019

On December 30, 2019 the US Census Bureau released its US national and state population estimates for July 1, 2019.  On December 30, 2019 usgovernmentspending.com updated its US and state population data as follows:
  • We updated 2010-2019 population data for US and states using data from US Census Bureau Population Estimates: Vintage 2019, State Population Totals, in file nst-est2019-01.xlsx.
  • We projected 2020 thru 2025 for the states assuming population rate change for 2018-19.
  • We updated 2020 thru 2025 for US only using the percentage projections from US Census Bureau National Population Projections in file np2017-t1.xlsx.
usgovernmentspending.com uses population data in computing per capita spending and revenue data. You can see per capita spending data in a chart here, and in a table of spending here.

You can check the data update schedule here.

Tuesday, December 10, 2019

Medicaid Update for FY 2018

On December 10, 2019, the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) published its annual report on National Health Expenditures and its NHE Tables includes data on Medicaid from 1966 to 2018. On December 10, 2019, usgovernmentspending.com updated its Medicaid data.

Item2018
Estimate
2018
Actual
Federal Medicaid$389.2 bn$389.2 bn 
State Medicaid$215.1 bn$208.2 bn 
Total Medicaid$604.3 bn$597.4 bn 

The federal Medicaid number comes from the Federal Budget Subfunction 558: Grants to states for Medicaid. The state contribution comes from the NHE Tables.

usgovernmentspending.com publishes "guesstimates" of state and local spending from the latest year published by the Census Bureau (currently FY 2017) to the last year in the Historical Tables of the federal budget (for the FY 2020 budget that is 2024). So we have developed "guesstimates" of Medicaid spending going out to 2024, assuming that the overall Medicaid spending increases at the same rate as the federal "Grants to States for Medicaid" increases.

National Health Expenditure data is updated each year in mid December.

Friday, November 1, 2019

State and Local Finances for FY 2017

On November 1, 2019 we updated the state and local spending and revenue for FY 2017 using the new Census Bureau State and Local Government Finances summaries for FY 2017 released on October 30, 2019.  This includes state and local spending for the United States as a whole and the 50 individual states and the District of Columbia.

State and local spending and revenue for FY2017 are now actual historical spending as reported by the Census Bureau.  Previously state spending and revenue for FY2017 were actual, and local spending and revenue were estimated.  The following table shows the difference between estimated and actual local spending and revenue for FY2017:

FY 2017Estimated
$ billion
Actual
$ billion
Local Spending$1,850$1,895
Local Revenue$1,254$1,335

The Census Bureau proposes to update revised state and local finances for 2016 in December 2019

We have updated the "guesstimated" state and local finances for FY2018-24 as indicated in our "guesstimate" blog entries.

UPDATE 11/04/2019:

We have updated data for individual local government units with data for 2017.