State FY25 Taxes Update

On November 22, 2025 usgovernmentspending.com updated FY2025 state revenue with quarterly tax data released by the US Census Bureau on September 2, 2025.  Local tax data was updated by assuming that local taxes for 2024 changed by the same percent as state taxes of the same type.

$ billion	FY2025 Estimate	FY2025 Actual
State Income Tax Revenue	$908	$798
Total State Revenue	$2,815	$3.072

State and local spending projections for FY2026 to FY2029 have been reestimated using the "Guesstimate" method.

Gross State Product for 2024

The US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) released its Gross State Product (GSP) data for 2024 on March 29, 2025.

Usgovernmentspending.com has updated its individual state GSPs for 2023 for each state using the projected national GDP numbers from Table 10.1 in the Historical Tables for the Federal FY2025 Budget and the historical GDP data series from the BEA as a baseline.

Click here to view a complete list of US states and their 2023 GSP growth rates.

Process:

1. Click on link.
2. Click on "Interactive Data" link
3. Click on "Interactive Tables: GDP by State" link
4. Click on "Annual Gross Domestic Product (GDP) by State"
5. Click on "Summary Tables for GDP, personal income, and related data."
6. Click on "SASUMMARY"
7. Area: Select "All Areas"
8. Statistic: Select "Real GDP..." and "Gross Domestic Product (GDP..."
9. Click on Next Step button
10. Time Period: Select "All Years"
11. Click on Next Step button
12. Click on Download button
13. Select CSV 

Federal Deficit, Receipts, Outlays Actuals for FY 2025

On October 16, 2025, the US Treasury reported in its Monthly Treasury Statement (and xlsx) for September that the federal deficit for FY 2025 ending September 30, 2025, was $1,775 billion. Here are the numbers, including total receipts, total outlays, and deficit compared with the numbers projected in the FY 2025 federal budget published in February 2024:

Federal Finances FY 2025 Outcomes
	Budget billions	Outcome billions
Receipts	$5,485	$5,235
Outlays	$7,226	$7,010
Deficit	$1,781	$1,775

We use the spending projections from the FY 2025 budget because the Federal government did not publish spending projections in its Budget for Fiscal Year 2026 as originally published in May 2025.

The Monthly Treasury Statement includes "Table 4: Receipts of the United States Government, September 2025 and Other Periods." This table of receipts by source is used for usgovernmentspending.com to post details of federal receipt actuals for FY 2025. usdgovernmentspending.com obtains the data for outlays and receipts from apis at fiscaldata.treasury.gov.

This MTS report on FY 2025 actuals is a problem for usgovernmentspending.com because this site uses Historical Table 3.2--Outlays by Function and Subfunction from the Budget of the United States as its basic source for federal subfunction outlays. But the Monthly Treasury Statement only includes "Table 9. Summary of Receipts by Source, and Outlays by Function of the U.S. Government, September 2025 and Other Periods". Subfunction amounts don't get reported until the FY27 budget in February 2026. Until then usgovernmentspending.com estimates actual outlays by "subfunction" for FY 2025 by factoring subfunction budgeted amounts for FY25 by the ratio between relevant actual and budgeted "function" amounts where actual outlays by subfunction cannot be gleaned from the Monthly Treasury Statement.

Final detailed FY 2025 actuals will not appear on usgovernmentspending.com until the FY 2027 federal budget is published in February 2026 with the actual outlays for FY 2025 in Historical Table 3.2--Outlays by Function and Subfunction.