Tuesday, August 14, 2012

Pre-1997 Real State GDP Revised

Up to now, real state GDP prior to 1997 has been displayed in 1997 dollars as published by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA).  But this creates a discontinuity in the year 1997 on the state page; pre-1997 real state GDP is published in1997 dollars and post-1996 real state GDP is published in 2005 dollars.  There is a bump in GDP anyway because the BEA changes its method of computing state GDP in 1997 from "SIC" to "NAICS".

Real state GDP values prior to 1997 on usgovernmentspending.com have now been updated with a factor to convert from 1997 real dollars to 2005 real dollars.  The factor used is (9856166/8284432) which is the ratio of US real GDP for 1997 published by BEA using the NAICS method divided by the US real GDP for 1997 published by BEA using the SIC method.  There is still a bit of a bump for many states for 1997 real state GDP growth.


Friday, June 22, 2012

Gross State Product Update for 2011


The US Bureau of Economic Analysis released its Gross State Product (GSP) data for 2011 on June 5, 2012.
Usgovernmentspending.com has updated its individual state GSPs for 2011 and projected nominal and real GSP through 2017 for each state using the projected national GDP growth rates from Table 10.1 in the Historical Tables for the Federal FY2013 Budget as a baseline.
As before we have projected individual state GSPs by applying a factor to reflect each state's deviation from the national growth rate. (E.g. In 2011 the national real GDP expanded by 1.7 percent. But North Dakota grew by 7.6 percent, a deviation of nearly 6 percent. The deviation is reduced by 40 percent for each year after 2011, assuming that each state will slowly revert to the national norm.)
Click here to view a complete list of US states and their 2011 GSP growth rates.

Tuesday, June 5, 2012

CBO Long Term Budget Outlook Updated

On June 5, 2012, the Congressional Budget Office released its annual Long Term Budget Outlook, which projects federal spending and revenue out into the 2080s.  As before, the CBO study shows that federal health-care programs will eat the budget.

UsGovernmentspending.com has updated its chart of the CBO Long Term Budget Outlook here.  You can download the data and also view CBO Long Term Budget Outlooks going back to 2005.